Publications by Author: Moshe Hoshen

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Leventer-Roberts, Maya, Noa Dagan, Jenna M Berent, Ilan Brufman, Moshe Hoshen, Marius Braun, Ran D Balicer, and Becca S Feldman. (2020) 2020. “Using Population-Level Incidence of Hepatitis C Virus and Immigration Status for Data-Driven Screening Policies: A Case Study in Israel.”. Journal of Public Health (Oxford, England). https://doi.org/10.1093/pubmed/fdaa215.

BACKGROUND: Most studies estimate hepatitis C virus (HCV) disease prevalence from convenience samples. Consequently, screening policies may not include those at the highest risk for a new diagnosis.

METHODS: Clalit Health Services members aged 25-74 as of 31 December 2009 were included in the study. Rates of testing and new diagnoses of HCV were calculated, and potential risk groups were examined.

RESULTS: Of the 2 029 501 included members, those aged 45-54 and immigrants had lower rates of testing (12.5% and 15.6%, respectively), higher rates of testing positive (0.8% and 1.1%, respectively), as well as the highest rates of testing positive among tested (6.1% and 6.9%, respectively).

DISCUSSION: In this population-level study, groups more likely to test positive for HCV also had lower rates of testing. Policy makers and clinicians worldwide should consider creating screening policies using on population-based data to maximize the ability to detect and treat incident cases.

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Feldman, Becca, Sharon Orbach-Zinger, Maya Leventer-Roberts, Moshe Hoshen, Noa Dagan, Ran Balicer, and Leonid A Eidelman. (2020) 2020. “Maternal Age and Cardiovascular and Metabolic Disease Outcomes: A Retrospective Cohort Study Using Data from Population-Based Electronic Medical Records.”. The Journal of Maternal-Fetal & Neonatal Medicine : The Official Journal of the European Association of Perinatal Medicine, the Federation of Asia and Oceania Perinatal Societies, the International Society of Perinatal Obstetricians 33 (11): 1853-60. https://doi.org/10.1080/14767058.2018.1531844.

Objective: To evaluate whether a woman's age at first birth is associated with cardiovascular risk and metabolic health outcomes (cardiometabolic outcomes) by age 45.Methods: This is a retrospective, population-based cohort study that uses electronic health record data from the largest health fund in Israel. Women aged 34-39 at baseline (2004-2006) free of chronic diseases were identified as nulliparous at baseline and were followed up to 10 years (through 2016). The cohort was divided into three groups based on their age at first birth: younger parturients (ages 35-39), older parturients (ages 40-44), and never had children. The percentage of adverse pregnancy events and cardiometabolic outcomes at age 45 were compared across these three groups as well as to women in the general population. Cardiovascular risk and metabolic health outcomes were defined as: Type 2 diabetes, obesity, hypertension, cardiovascular disease, and Framingham risk score.Methods and results: Out of a group of 126,121 women aged 34-39 at baseline, 9979 were nulliparous and free of comorbidities. Over the course of the follow-up, there were 952 younger parturients and 673 older parturients who had their first birth, and 8354 women who remained persistent nulliparous. While older parturients had more adverse pregnancy events, there was no difference in rates of cardiometabolic outcomes between the two parturient groups, and they both had lower rates than the persistent nulliparous and the general population.Conclusions: Parturients free of major chronic diseases who give birth at a later age do not have increased cardiometabolic outcomes in midlife as compared to a general population of women in a large retrospective cohort. Our results may support clinicians when counseling healthy women who are seeking advice regarding delaying their first pregnancy without a tradeoff on health outcomes.

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Dagan, Noa, Chandra J Cohen-Stavi, Meytal Avgil Tsadok, Morton Leibowitz, Moshe Hoshen, Tomas Karpati, Amichay Akriv, et al. (2019) 2019. “Translating Clinical Trial Results into Personalized Recommendations by Considering Multiple Outcomes and Subjective Views.”. NPJ Digital Medicine 2: 81. https://doi.org/10.1038/s41746-019-0156-3.

Currently, clinicians rely mostly on population-level treatment effects from RCTs, usually considering the treatment's benefits. This study proposes a process, focused on practical usability, for translating RCT data into personalized treatment recommendations that weighs benefits against harms and integrates subjective perceptions of relative severity. Intensive blood pressure treatment (IBPT) was selected as the test case to demonstrate the suggested process, which was divided into three phases: (1) Prediction models were developed using the Systolic Blood-Pressure Intervention Trial (SPRINT) data for benefits and adverse events of IBPT. The models were externally validated using retrospective Clalit Health Services (CHS) data; (2) Predicted risk reductions and increases from these models were used to create a yes/no IBPT recommendation by calculating a severity-weighted benefit-to-harm ratio; (3) Analysis outputs were summarized in a decision support tool. Based on the individual benefit-to-harm ratios, 62 and 84% of the SPRINT and CHS populations, respectively, would theoretically be recommended IBPT. The original SPRINT trial results of significant decrease in cardiovascular outcomes following IBPT persisted only in the group that received a "yes-treatment" recommendation by the suggested process, while the rate of serious adverse events was slightly higher in the "no-treatment" recommendation group. This process can be used to translate RCT data into individualized recommendations by identifying patients for whom the treatment's benefits outweigh the harms, while considering subjective views of perceived severity of the different outcomes. The proposed approach emphasizes clinical practicality by mimicking physicians' clinical decision-making process and integrating all recommendation outputs into a usable decision support tool.